Sunday, January 29, 2012

Odds to Win World Series, NL Pennant


The latest offseason shuffling around the major league landscape has forced Vegas to do a little re-shuffling themselves. Every signing, every trade, and every departure is followed closely by the oddsmakers in Sin City. With that in mind, here are the most up-to-date odds for each MLB team to win the World Series, courtesy of Bovada sportsbook:

Philadelphia Phillies, 11-2
Los Angeles Angels, 13-2
New York Yankees, 13-2
Detroit Tigers, 9-1
Texas Rangers, 9-1
Boston Red Sox, 10-1
Miami Marlins, 15-1
San Francisco Giants, 16-1
St. Louis Cardinals, 18-1
Arizona Diamondbacks, 20-1
Atlanta Braves, 20-1
Tampa Bay Rays, 20-1
Cincinnati Reds, 25-1
Washington Nationals, 25-1
Milwaukee Brewers, 30-1
Colorado Rockies, 30-1
Los Angeles Dodgers, 30-1
Toronto Blue Jays, 30-1
Chicago Cubs, 35-1
Chicago White Sox, 50-1
Cleveland Indians, 50-1
Minnesota Twins, 50-1
Pirates Pirates, 65-1
Kansas City Royals, 75-1
New York Mets, 75-1
Oakland Athletics, 75-1
Seattle Mariners, 75-1
San Diego Padres, 90-1
Baltimore Orioles, 100-1
Houston Astros, 100-1

As you can see above, the oddsmakers give the Redlegs 25/1 odds to hoist the hardware next season -- good for a tie of 7th-best in the National League (w/Nationals) and a tie of 13th-best overall.

While I wouldn't argue that Cincy deserves to be included in the top five, I will go on record in saying that I believe they should be among the top ten. Not only do I feel the Reds' current roster is more talented and just all-around better than a few teams above them (Miami Marlins, San Francisco Giants & St. Louis Cardinals), but one could also make a compelling case that their path to the postseason is looking to be easier than normal due to the weakened state of the other five NL Central teams.

Perhaps even more head-scratching than their low ranking is the fact that Vegas actually gave Dusty Baker's crew better odds to win-it-all when the first list for the 2012 season was released last October. Here is a look back at those odds, courtesy of Caesars sportsbook:

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES 5/1
TEXAS RANGERS 6/1
NEW YORK YANKEES 6/1
TAMPA BAY RAYS 7/1
BOSTON RED SOX 8/1
DETROIT TIGERS 8/1
ST LOUIS CARDINALS 8/1
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS 15/1
SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS 15/1
ATLANTA BRAVES 18/1
LOS ANGELES ANGELS 18/1
MILWAUKEE BREWERS 20/1
CINCINNATI REDS 22/1
CLEVELAND INDIANS 25/1
WASHINGTON NATIONALS 30/1
CHICAGO CUBS 35/1
TORONTO BLUE JAYS 40/1
MIAMI MARLINS 40/1
COLORADO ROCKIES 50/1
CHICAGO WHITE SOX 50/1
NEW YORK METS 60/1
LOS ANGELES DODGERS 60/1
MINNESOTA TWINS 60/1
KANSAS CITY ROYALS 60/1
SEATTLE MARINERS 60/1
BALTIMORE ORIOLES 75/1
OAKLAND ATHLETICS 100/1
PITTSBURGH PIRATES 100/1
SAN DIEGO PADRES 150/1
HOUSTON ASTROS 250/1

That's right. A modest $20 wager on the 'Stros to win the Series would net a person $5,000 bucks (plus their original $20). I don't see that happening, but then again...stranger things HAVE happened.

And now a quick look at the most up-to-date set of odds for the victor of the NL pennant, courtesy of the Belmont sportsbook:

Philadelphia Phillies 17-10
Atlanta Braves 7-1
San Francisco Giants 7-1
Arizona Diamondbacks 9-1
Cincinnati Reds 9-1
St. Louis Cardinals 9-1
Chicago Cubs 14-1
Los Angeles Dodgers 14-1
Miami Marlins 14-1
Milwaukee Brewers 14-1
Washington Nationals 14-1
Colorado Rockies 18-1
New York Mets 40-1
Pittsburgh Pirates 40-1
Houston Astros 60-1
San Diego Padres 125-1

So, I have to ask, would any of you place a bet considering these odds?

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