Thursday, January 10, 2013

Highlighting top Reds prospects entering 2013: Daniel Corcino

Corcino after tossing a dual no-hitter
last July for Pensacola

by: Jon Davis
Staff Writer

#4 Daniel Corcino RHP

Now we see a trend starting to develop with another pitcher at four: Daniel Corcino. The 5-foot-11, 205-pound, right hander was signed as an amateur free agent out of the Dominican Republic in 2008. In 2011, he jumped onto the scene pitching for Dayton and posted a 3.42 ERA & 1.16 WHIP. In 139.1 innings pitched, he struckout 156 batters with a decent walk rate of 2.2 per nine innings. This past year, he made the jump to Double-A Pensacola and posted some odd numbers. In the 143.1 innings he pitched, Corcino saw his ERA actually drop to 3.01 despite his WHIP going up to 1.22 due to a spike in his walk rate from 2.2 per nine innings to over 4. The logical conclusion was that he was missing more bats. Well, yes and no. His hit rate dropped from 8.3 per nine innings to 7.0, which should lead to strikeouts increasing, but Corcino's K rate actually dropped going from 10.1 per nine down to 7.9.

The spike in walk rate & dip in strikeouts are less concerning given his jump from low-A to double A, but are still a little unsettling. The big question this year will be which was the real Corcino, 2011 or 2012. In my opinion, it is probably somewhere in the middle. His mechanics are not pretty, so command could be an issue, but he has the kind of stuff to compete one day at the major league level. He boasts a fastball that sits in the 92-94 range, a good slider, and a change up that he has confidence in to throw in any count. He has, in the minds of most, the ceiling of a good No. 3 starter in the majors. We will just have to wait and see if he takes the next step in 2013 or not.

I expect he will open the season in the Louisville rotation joining No. 3 prospect Tony Cingrani. If he does take the next step, he would set himself up to be in the mix for the 2014 rotation. As for 2013, there is not a likely situation where he is going to impact the Reds -- at best he is number three in line behind Mike Leake and Cingrani should the Reds need help in the rotation.

A look back on the previous prospect posts...
No. 1 - Billy Hamilton
No. 2 - Robert Stephenson
No. 3 - Tony Cingrani

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